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WTF is with this bleeping weather?


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From AO's favorite people, NOAA:

 

"IF MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARDS THE COLD AIR ALOFT AND STRONG JET DYNAMICS...MAY EVEN NEED TO INTRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. WHILE IT IS STILL EARLY...PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN NEXT WEEK ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS AT RESORT LEVELS."

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There has been a heat wave of sorts in the North Pole this week that might even have Santa trading in his sleigh for swim trunks.

Temperatures were as much as 50 degrees above average on Wednesday– almost reaching 32 degrees Fahrenheit in portions of the Arctic Circle that average 20 below zero at this time of year.

Meteorologists and experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration blame the strange weather on winter cyclones over the Atlantic near Iceland that pushed warm air far up from the south. Another storm in the Arctic north of Greenland - helped by low-pressure system that also produced blizzards in New Mexico, tornadoes in Texas and flooding in Missouri - was also to blame.

 

Arctic sea ice reached its fourth-lowest extent on record on Sept. 11, 2015.

 

 

1451605062577.jpg?ve=1&tl=1

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THE NEXT MORE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM IS MOVING QUICKLY EAST
ALONG 135W AND FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SIERRA. FOR SUBSEQUENT WEATHER SYSTEMS, WINTER WEATHER
WATCHES, WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES WILL NEED TO BE ISSUED ON A CASE
BY CASE BASIS HOWEVER IT IS SAFE TO SAY THAT MORE WILL BE NEEDED
OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. GIVEN THIS,THE THIRD SYSTEM , LOCATED AT
140W IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE WEDNESDAY WITH YET A FOURTH IMPULSE
ARRIVING THURSDAY. AS YOU CAN SEE THIS IS A MOST ACTIVE PATTERN.

A LOOK AT THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC WATER VAPOR SATELLITE COMPOSITE
SHOWS SYSTEMS LINED UP ALL THE WAY BACK TO CHINA AND INDIA AND THE
ECMWF MODEL THROUGH 240 HOURS (10 DAYS) BRINGS 7 SYSTEMS TO
CALIFORNIA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. RATHER IMPRESSIVE TO SAY THE
LEAST.
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So did this storm completely miss OC or what?

 

Didn't miss. Too much dry air in the lower atmosphere weakened the storm. This first storm wasn't supposed to be strong in the first place. The big ones are on track for tomorrow and Wednesday night.

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