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Gameday Thread: Angels @ Red Sox (5/3/22): Syndergaard on the mound, Ohtani back, Mayfield in LF


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Here's the worry. He's got a 2.57 ERA right now, but a 4.29 xFIP. For the statphobic, xFIP is a calculated ERA based upon peripherals, and equalizing HR to league average. Thor's ERA is as low as it is because he's only given up 1 HR all year, which is nice, but subject to luck.

Meanwhile, he's striking out only 5.14 per 9, which is 89th out of 93 pitchers with 20 IP or more.

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Just now, Angelsjunky said:

Here's the worry. He's got a 2.57 ERA right now, but a 4.29 xFIP. For the statphobic, xFIP is a calculated ERA based upon peripherals, and equalizing HR to league average. Thor's ERA is as low as it is because he's only given up 1 HR all year, which is nice, but subject to luck.

Meanwhile, he's striking out only 5.14 per 9, which is 89th out of 93 pitchers with 20 IP or more.

It's the same concern with Lorenzen tbh. Both are at least running really high GB%, but they'll need to maintain that to get by. As it stands, I'd expect both to end up with ERA's at or above 4 by the end of the season with their current profiles

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Just now, bloodbrother said:

It's the same concern with Lorenzen tbh. Both are at least running really high GB%, but they'll need to maintain that to get by. As it stands, I'd expect both to end up with ERA's at or above 4 by the end of the season with their current profiles

Yeah, I kind of pair them as roughly in the same category. But for Lorenzen, that's good news: he seems to be nicely converting from middle relief to a mid-rotation starter, which is about the best we could hope for - for $7M. Thor is looking like a mid-rotation guy - for $21M. 

 

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