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AngelsWin.com Today: The significance of Mike Trout’s injury


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4 hours ago, Angelsjunky said:

In case anyone's wondering...

6 weeks from yesterday is July 10, 8 weeks is July 24. The ASB is July 10-13, so let's say that the best-case scenario is that Trout is back in the lineup on July 14, which is game #93. From July 14 until the end of the year is 70 games. July 24 is an off-day, with July 25 being game #101, thus with 62 games left.

To put all of that another way, if Trout is actually out 6-8 weeks (and assuming that also includes minor league rehab), he will be available for the last 60-70 games. With 47 games played so far, and assuming no further injuries or more than a few days off, that means he'll end up with somewhere between 100 and 115 games played on the season, probably in the 105-110 range.

Trout is the all time leader for WAR through age 20, 21, 22, 23, 24 and it looks like that streak will now end. He is currently ~5 war short of Ty Cobb. He would need to play out of his mind for 65 games (.769 RAR per game) to hit that number. That said he's been on almost exactly that pace to start this season (.766 RAR per game). He'd finish with a better season than 2014, which means the MVP is not entirely off the table - a heck of a stretch but not off the table.

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6 hours ago, disarcina said:

Season over....I thought Halos would win 74 games this year -- now I need to adjust that figure -- 68 ?

Some thought there were a lot of empty seats at Angels Stadium this year, just wait...........

There are no more than 20-22 K most nights at Angel Stadium. Without Trout, I'd expect that number to slowly fall, although playing the Yankees and Dodgers at home in June helps attendance figures. 

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