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Time to make Salas the Closer (gulp)


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6 hours ago, tdawg87 said:

Salas is basically one or two great defensive plays away from being his normal, shitty self.

His BABIP is .232. He will finish the season with an ERA near or above 4.

Yes, exactly. If you delve into it deeper it is very clear that Salas will regress in a bad way. The only thing he is doing better is less of the balls hit into play are falling for hits, as you point to with the unsustainably low BABIP. His home run rate is down and he is getting more ground balls, admittedly those are encouraging signs (in what is still a small sample size). But his strikeout rate is the lowest it has been since he has been with the Angels (10.46 per nine innings last year, down to 8.06 this year), his walk rate is up 1.7 to 2.1 per nine innings from last year to this year and his strand rate is entirely unsustainable at 87.2 per cent. Everything in his statistics suggest he will regress in an emphatic way soon.

On the Joe Smith issue, yes he is a huge concern. There isn't much to suggest he will turn it around and his decline is really alarming. His strikeout rate is down to a pretty awful 5.87 per nine innings, his walk rate was up significantly last year and has gone up again in 2016 and he is giving up home runs. His BABIP has been a quite friendly .250 as well, so things could get even worse. I don't see much there to suggest he has what it takes to be an effective MLB pitcher anymore.

Cam Bedrosian looks legit though. It's a small sample size but he's halved his walk rate, striking out more batters and hasn't been riding any BABIP luck. It's time to give him more responsibility.

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  • 4 weeks later...

Message board I told you so's are the heat.  

Just a hunch when this thread was made Salas was pitching well compared to the rest of the pen, probably around the time Smith shit the bed.  

Somebody should start a Bedrosian for Closer thread so we can watch him regress to his past.  

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  • 2 weeks later...

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