Thoroughbred Racing

[Adam]

No $.10 supers for the derby dude

[gotbeer]

No $.10 supers for the derby dude

 

Reason #1,285,394 why I hate Churchill. 

[Adam]

I will almost certainly change my mind, but today, I'm looking at these:

 

$50 W = $50

Suddenbreakingnews

 

$10 Exacta = $10

Suddenbreakingnews / Nyquist 

 

$1 Exacta = $19

ALL / Suddenbreakingnews

 

$5 Exacta (2 x 3) = $30

Nyquist, Suddenbreakingnews

Gun Runner,  Brody's Cause, Mo Tom 

 

$.50 Trifecta (1 x 6 x 10) = $27

Nyquist

Suddenbreakingnews, Gun Runner, Brody's Cause, Mo Tom, My Man Sam, Tom's Ready

Suddenbreakingnews, Gun Runner, Brody's Cause, Mo Tom, My Man Sam, Tom's Ready, Mor Spirit, Exaggerator, Creator, Destin 

 

$1 Superfecta (1 x 1 x 3 x 5) = $12

Nyquist

Suddenbreakingnews

Gun Runner, Brody's Cause, Mo Tom

Gun Runner, Brody's Cause, Mo Tom, My Man Sam, Tom's Ready

 

Total = $148

Edited April 27, 2016 by Adam

[Homebrewer]

Only problem I see with the above is you will only have a $1 exacta Nyquist-SBN.

You have..

$10 Exacta = $10

Suddenbreakingnews / Nyquist

 $5 Exacta (2 x 3) = $30

Nyquist, Suddenbreakingnews

Gun Runner, Brody's Cause, Mo Tom

 

 

Box your $10 exacta..

Trust me, I've done what you are doing, covering all of your best guesses and leaving out something obvious...

and that's the one that seems to come in..

[Adam]

I have a better ROI when I don't box. I'm fine being wrong. I'll hit the tri with Nyquist on top. 

[Homebrewer]

Triple Crown winner Espinoza to ride Whitmore in Derby

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/triple-crown-winner-espinoza-ride-whitmore-derby-161312563--spt.html

[gotbeer]

Garcia and Baffert have falling-out

 

Don't blame him.  I hear Baffert is a dick.  I wonder if Garcia would be moving his tack to another track?

[Homebrewer]

And jockeys can get "Too big for their britches" sometimes too.

That whole industry is pretty interesting with the egos and dynamics...much deniro involved..

[Adam]

Garcia prolly makes 80% of his income from baffert mounts. Pride kills.

[Adam]

Think about how pissed we get a jockeys when we have a $5 exacta and he tries to shoot through a small gap and checks. If I were a trainer I'd probably become a murderer

[gotbeer]

http://m.bleacherreport.com/articles/2636662-kentucky-derby-2016-complete-odds-and-early-favorites-to-consider

This is what the guessed odds are going to be. Looks like huge prices like usual

[Homebrewer]

I starting to seriously consider using Mohaymen, thinking his Florida Derby was just a clunker.

He's working really well, and I like the McLaughlin/ Alvarado connex and the Tapit breeding.

I have a funny feeling he might really fire at CD.

Gonna have to wait to see what the track is going to be like to make final decisions, but he's got my attention and +800 is really tempting.

Edited April 30, 2016 by Homebrewer

[Homebrewer]

Something I ran into today...Google search page was celebrating the 100th birthday of a guy named Claude Shannon, a  math genius and theorist..

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claude_Shannon

So in reading about him, turns out one of his contemporaries was a guy named Nyquist..

Harry Nyquist to be exact..

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Nyquist

So in conclusion...Nyquist is obviously going to win going away..

Mohaymen second.

[gotbeer]

Since you brought up Nyquist.  Was curious, and was wondering where the name came from.

 

Red Wings' Nyquist: 'Fun' to have horse named after me

[Adam]

I'll be pissed if Suddenbreakingnews isn't 20-1

[Adam]

One of the things I like about Baffert is that he's pretty transparent and honest. When his horse sucks he lets you know. This is pretty encouraging if you like Mor Spirit

 

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/211269/mor-spirit-workout-pleases-baffert-stevens

[Homebrewer]

Interestingly, mor spirit is a ridgeling... (male with undescended balls)

Eskendereya by Giants Causeway...nice breeding

I remember Eskendereya...would have been a favorite for the derby but was scratched late.

good article...maybe Mor Spirit can avenge Eskendereya's bad luck?

Shaping up to be an interesting race.

[Homebrewer]

Some other breeding news and information.

The $100 Million Superhorse Powering This Year's Kentucky Derby

(Uncle Mo)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-02/new-yorker-s-100-million-stud-is-taking-over-the-kentucky-derby

[Adam]

Wish I owned a piece of Uncle Mo or Tapit. Lord.

[Homebrewer]

Wish I owned a piece of Uncle Mo or Tapit. Lord.

No kiddin..hell I would love to BE Uncle Mo or Tapit for a week in the summer.

I'm starting to get excited for the TC racing season..

My racing year sorta hinges on the Derby.

It's such a great money making race if you can get it right and load up just a little..it can start a guy out for the season with a nice little racing bankroll.

Should be getting a handle on the weather there soon..

[gotbeer]

Some other breeding news and information.

The $100 Million Superhorse Powering This Year's Kentucky Derby

(Uncle Mo)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-02/new-yorker-s-100-million-stud-is-taking-over-the-kentucky-derby

 

That was my strat for kentucky derby futures this year.  Bet all the Uncle Mo horses.  There were 4 on the derby trail in November, Uncle Lino was one of them, forget the other two, and Nyquist.  Only Nyquist and forgot the name of the horse was bettable. 

[gotbeer]

Horseracing rules found on 2,000-year-old tablet in central Turkey

[gotbeer]

Kentucky Oaks field and odds

 

1. TERRA PROMESSA, R.SantanaJr., 10-1

2. WEEP NO MORE, C.Lanerie, 9-2

3. LEWIS BAY, I.OrtizJr., 8-1

4. GO MAGGIE GO, L.Saez, 12-1

5. DREAM DANCE, B.HernandezJr., 30-1

6. MOKAT, F.Prat, 20-1

7. MO D’AMOUR, J.Rosario, 30-1

8. ROYAL OBSESSION, F.Geroux, 20-1

9. PAOLA QUEEN, I.Jaramillo, 30-1

10. VENUS VALENTINE, S.Bridgmohan, 30-1

11. RACHEL’S VALENTINA, J.Velazquez, 7-2

12. CATHRYN SOPHIA, J.Castellano, 9-2

13. LAND OVER SEA, M.Gutierrez, 5-1

14. TAXABLE, M.Smith, 20-1

15(ae). DOTHRAKI QUEEN, G.Stevens, 30-1

[Tank]

how is the kentucky oaks different from the kentucky derby? just a different race on the same day? different age horses? horses with only three legs and no tail?

[gotbeer]

oaks = 3 year old girls

 

And it's on the Friday before the Kentucky derby. 

 

Derby = 3 year olds male or female