Thoroughbred Racing

[Adam]

As I mentioned to Soto, I stay away from my online accounts because I usually blow it all on overseas racing.

 

This was just a weird weekend. I've got a 7-week old baby and didn't want to leave the wife with two kids all day. 

 

I'll be back at Santa Anita next year. 

[Adam]

Shared Belief back in training at Golden Gate! 

 

Wonder if he'll be ready for the Malibu

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

I had mentioned it before, but it is a pretty big disadvantage getting all of my bets in at 8am and watching the races from home. I would have made a few adjustments based on odds and how the track was playing. I've got two young kids at home and didn't want to saddle the wife with that. I made the comment to my brother at about 3 minutes to post that Mike Smith would probably be very aggressive with Effinex - that there was still $900K up for grabs for 2nd place. Soto was smart to have some money to that horse.

I think my biggest takeaway is that more than any other racing day/weekend of the year, the primary value in the BC is in underneath horses. Who's going to run 2nd-4th. I was close to having a monster day 3 different times but just missed. Investing a little more in verticals would have been wise.

Not enough. Man if Effinex had snapped off AP, I would have been making it rain at Tommy Burgers. Edited November 5, 2015 by SOTO

[gotbeer]

$222.40 MAHONING VALLEY MAIDEN WINNER: WAS ‘SHE’ REALLY A ‘HE’?

 

LOL.  

[Adam]

$222.40 MAHONING VALLEY MAIDEN WINNER: WAS ‘SHE’ REALLY A ‘HE’?

 

LOL.  

 

 

I saw that. Racing is so shady, man. I'm cool with it. But shady. Especially at the shit tracks. 

[Homebrewer]

Like the Remington Park drug cartel QH owners?

[Adam]

Like a year ago (maybe less) some Turf Paradise dude had two horses entered in a race. The favorite and a longshot. He switched the saddles on them and the 20-1 shot won. He was actually the 2-1 shot racing with the wrong cloth. 

[Homebrewer]

Sheesh....I'm sure there are some others stored away in our memory banks, too.

Horse racing has always been a magnate for the unsavory. Jockeys with drug and alcohol problems, and all types from owners to grooms with money problems, and the ease with which outcomes can be altered....it's sometimes amazing that it has remained as long as it has.

This Triple Crown run, as well as CC's amazing story last year, has done wonders for the visibility of the sport.

I hope there isn't something bad going to happen, like a cheating scandal or some such nonsense, to undo all of the good that's been done. 

There are a lot of people out there, with a lot of new money to spend, that could really be a shot in the arm to the sport as owners, breeders, and major players. The beauty of horse racing has been on display for a while now...it would be a real shame.

[Tank]

$222.40 MAHONING VALLEY MAIDEN WINNER: WAS ‘SHE’ REALLY A ‘HE’?

 

LOL.

Call her Caitlyn.

[Adam]

I'm on the 2 in Del Mar R7

[gotbeer]

I guess cheaters do prosper.  That seems like a very lenient penalty.

 

Four suspended in Ohio

 

Pretty much a 5k claimer means winners share should be between $2k-$3k.  And they only get slapped with $500 a person, which would have been a $5 win bet.  

[Adam]

In their defense, if the fix was in the odds wouldn't have been 110-1. Mahoning doesn't take a whole bunch of handle. That said, they may have been able to bet at fixed odds overseas.

 

Looks like simple incompetence. 

[gotbeer]

Horrible news.  Probably the best older horse in the world.  And yes, over American Pharoah.

 

Shared Belief (2011-2015)

[Adam]

Yeah major bummer. Was hoping he'd light it up this coming year. 

[Adam]

Santa Anita opening day tomorrow! Cap'n tonight.

[gotbeer]

Santa Anita opening day tomorrow! Cap'n tonight.

 

Go to the track dude!  You have my numbers.

 

I'm playing hte handicapping challenge tomorrow.  I like a few odd choices.

 

Race 1.  1, 2, or 3.  I'm leaning towards the 3.  But the 1 is a possibility.  And the 2 fits perfect for Chantels return

Race 2.  5 Gamblers Wish.  Man as name goes, it's perfect for us degens.  But moving down in class is big.

Race 3.  9 Quickley's corner.  Drayden getting off a horse to get on this one.  Trained by Proctor.  This horse should be ready and at 8/1.  If you get an overlay, run. 

Race 4.  My buddy likes the 9 12

Race 5.  6 Weirdhaircut Seth.  Desourmoux/Hess combo is pretty good.

RAce 6.  10 Om looks good.  my buddy likes the 2 Perfectly Majestic as a Ls  Watch out for 8 Ike Walker.  Won the last 3.  Victor is on it.  20/1......Really?  This could be the monthmaker if it gets overlaid.

Race 7.  3 Cavorting.  Ortiz coming and this is the horse he is coming out for. 

Race 8. 2 marking.  Just because it's mark.  But also because Lezcno came out to ride him.  My buddy likes 5 El Kabir as a longshot.  4 Runhappy should win it.  But that BS of changing trainers after a BC win, and the slight layoff.  Signs are there for an upset.  So probably means he wins by 10 lengths.

Race 9.  Buddy likes 13 then the 2 as a Longshot.  I am leaning towards the 4.  Only horse moving down in class.  Japanese horse, so automatically is better than everyone.  A Deep Impact horse. 

 

For the handicap challenge, Win/Place.  Playing the following:

Race 2: 5 Gambers Wish 10/1

Race 3:  9 Quigley's corner 8/1

Race 5:  6 Wierdhaircut Seth 5/1

Race 6:  8 Ike Walker 20/1

Race 7: 3 Cavorting 5/2

[Adam]

I don't have much of a feel for the first three races.

I like Big Casanova quite a bit in the 4th if he stays at 8-1.

Looks like I'll be playing a win bet on him with some exactas and the late pick 4.

6: 9,10,11

7: 2, 3, 6, 7

8: 4

9: 11

I'll use Cavorting but I'm not a huge fan here. The track should be playing for speed per usual.

I like What A View a ton in the 9th. Huge pace edge and I ca pretty much guarantee the best ride ever from KD after the Del Mar debacle in this horse.

Good luck!

[Homebrewer]

Ahhh Opening Day at SA.

I usually don't do opening days, but SA on the day after Christmas has been good to me. Always a beautiful day.

Might watch a few, anyhow.

 

Good Luck

[Homebrewer]

Can Santiago Gonzalez go 4 in a row to start the meet?

[Adam]

$244K super lol

[Homebrewer]

24k for a dime.

Those downhill races can throw grenades once in a while.

14 horse races are hard to go "all" in, for the vertical bettor. I went for a walk after that one, so didn't see what the pick3 and 4's paid.

[Adam]

Nice! Cold decked that tri several times

[Homebrewer]

Runhappy certainly was full of himself after that race. He'll be a handfull around the barn this week.

"Look at me, I got it all figured out"

I had the super and everything else, too bad I'm just watching..

[Homebrewer]

Largest opening day crowd since 94...the AP effect?

[Adam]

Shoulda put more $ into the 11 in the last. +$47 on the day. Bird at the wire killed my pick 4.

Runhappy - What A View double paid $19.20. Total overlay. I really need to learn how to bet