Thoroughbred Racing

[Homebrewer]

38.40 on your double to 1 soto

(read it wrong the first time)

Edited October 31, 2015 by Homebrewer

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Man I suck.

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Last shot is to hit that distaff/classic double.

Hoping 5/6 can snap off a price here.

[Adam]

Been all down hill since my pick 3 hit. Down to 3 straight supers in the classic

[Adam]

I will never bet euro chalk ever again in a BC race

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Been all down hill since my pick 3 hit. Down to 3 straight supers in the classic

At least you hit that 411, which is huge considering Songbird was a lock.

[Adam]

Half that. Played for .50

[Adam]

4-1-2-9

Ice cold

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Damn ice cold super. That's huge.

[gotbeer]

I am cold as ice now

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

I'm still praying for a price here. Effinex or Gleneagles pays me something on that double.

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

If pharaoh wins, I get a whopping $11.40

[Adam]

So many close calls today. Missed the super in the mile by 1 spot. Had the top of the exacta 3 times.

BC is tough.

Can't wait to be there again next year! With a bigger budget

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Was fun. I sucked though. Obviously one race to go and I can will finish in black if the 6 wins. Otherwise I'll still be in the red even if the others win.

[The Ghost of Bob Starr]

Shit. Of course I don't play the 6 to place.

[gotbeer]

Sigh. Don't believe in Pharoah and he bites me

[Adam]

So I guess the owner of runhappy fired that broad trainer yesterday. Damn. Gave the horse to his sister in law.

Onto the derby prep season.

I still can't believe the CA horses rolled in the Juvenile. Nyquist looked like a sprinter for sure. Shocked he won and shocked swipe ran on 2nd. I'm starting to wonder if the Beyer speed figures have any value at all at this point. I was never a huge speed fog guy but they definitely helped me toss horses.

[gotbeer]

 I was never a huge speed fog guy but they definitely helped me toss horses.

 

That's what I usually use the speed figures for.  I usually look at the race rating, subtract 5-10 from it.  And toss any horse that has not come within in the last 10 races.  At least for the win.  

[Adam]

If you watch the Frontrunner Nyquist looks like he's clearly backing up in the lane. 

 

Changed tactics a bit though. Good on him. 9-2 kinda sucked tho anyway. 

[Homebrewer]

Got back to even (24 dollars up for the whole 2 days) in the classic...so it was fun but the profit didn't happen.

On TV here, as soon as the race was over, NBC in Fresno went right to a scheduled infomercial promptly at 3:00!!

Man was I pissed. Missed everything after the race itself.

It was like the Heidi game all over again.

[Adam]

Last year my big bet was Undrafted at 13-1 in the Turf Sprint. Finished 3rd.

This year one of my bigger bets was The Green Mask in the Turf Sprint at 9-1. Finished 3rd.

 

Both are Wesley Ward horses.

 

Next year, I'll be betting my Ward horse to show. 

[Homebrewer]

A final observation on the classic...

After watching the replay...who the **** is that outrider with AP after the race?

The guy looks like his dog got run over and killed during the race or something.

Not even a smile the whole post race, trot, crowd adoration...maybe he had really painful hemorrhoids, because that's what it looks like.  

[Homebrewer]

Keeneland did great with the event.

They deserve a lot of credit for a job really well done.

[Adam]

I had mentioned it before, but it is a pretty big disadvantage getting all of my bets in at 8am and watching the races from home. I would have made a few adjustments based on odds and how the track was playing. I've got two young kids at home and didn't want to saddle the wife with that. I made the comment to my brother at about 3 minutes to post that Mike Smith would probably be very aggressive with Effinex - that there was still $900K up for grabs for 2nd place. Soto was smart to have some money to that horse. 

 

I think my biggest takeaway is that more than any other racing day/weekend of the year, the primary value in the BC is in underneath horses. Who's going to run 2nd-4th. I was close to having a monster day 3 different times but just missed. Investing a little more in verticals would have been wise. 

[Homebrewer]

<<<the primary value in the BC is in underneath horses. Who's going to run 2nd-4th>>>

Exactly...in my thinking this is almost always the case, but much more so in the BC.
You notice my bets were all ex and tri's.
The classic was a prime example...the $1 tri paid $161, the exacta 70+
I was playing all weekend to build up money for that one race.
Unfortunately I was digging into my pocket just to come out even for the BC..
Ha d a had a few hundred as planned, I would have been sitting with a few grand.
It was still great to see AP destroy that field and become a forever horse.

Also making early bets and being unable to adjust to the tote, scratches, eyeball
assessments, etc can seriously hurt a horseplayer.

My suggestion is this, if you cant trust yourself to stay within budget, you can open an expressbet account, and make cash deposits at RiteAid/CVS using the Greendot at the register option.
Then you can use your allotted money, and still change and cancel bets up until they leave the gate, sitting at your computer.

Edited November 2, 2015 by Homebrewer