Thoroughbred Racing

[Lou]

Hi

[Lou]

^^^ I just wanted to have the 2,500th post in this thread.

 

[gotbeer]

There are 2503 posts in this thread.  That means you had 2501 and 2502.  Adam just beat you out by a head.   

[Adam]

Snapper Sinclair off the trail. We're not getting anymore pace in the race. Really looks like Promises Fulfilled on the lead with Flameaway, Noble Indy and Justify tracking closely. 

[Homebrewer]

Just watched Justify's work this morn at SA.

Wow.... If that horse draws well and gets any kind of trip it's goin to be tough to beat.

[Adam]

Oaks Card

ppCD_0499 (1).pdf

[Homebrewer]

What a draw for Justify. TC talk can now start in earnest.

 

Post, horse, trainer, jockey, odds 

1. Firenze Fire, Jason Servis, Paco Lopez, 50-1

2. Free Drop Billy, Dale Romans, Robby Albarado, 30-1

3. Promises Fulfilled, Dale Romans, Corey Lanerie, 30-1

4. Flameaway, Mark Casse, Jose Lezcano, 30-1

5. Audible, Todd Pletcher, Javier Castellano, 8-1

6. Good Magic, Chad Brown, Jose Ortiz, 12-1

7. Justify, Bob Baffert, Mike Smith, 3-1

8. Lone Sailor, Tom Amoss, James Graham, 50-1

9. Hofburg, Bill Mott, Irad Ortiz Jr., 20-1

10. My Boy Jack, Keith Desormeaux, Kent Desormeaux, 30-1

11. Bolt d'Oro, Mick Ruis, Victor Espinoza, 8-1

12. Enticed, Kiaran McLaughlin, Junior Alvarado, 30-1

13. Bravazo, D. Wayne Lukas, Luis Contreras, 50-1

14. Mendelssohn, Aidan O'Brien, Ryan Moore, 5-1

15. Instilled Regard, Jerry Hollendorfer, Drayden Van Dyke, 50-1

16. Magnum Moon, Todd Pletcher, Luis Saez, 6-1

17. Solomini, Bob Baffert, Flavien Prat, 30-1

18. Vino Rosso, Todd Pletcher, John Velazquez, 12-1

19. Noble Indy, Todd Pletcher, Florent Geroux, 30-1

20. Combatant, Steve Asmussen, Ricardo Santana Jr., 50-1

[gotbeer]

Looks like all the favorites got pretty favorable post positions.  

[Homebrewer]

Where does the aux gate start?  Both Magnum Moon and Vino Rosso look like they might have drawn into that.

If Justify gets clean to the turn it is all going to be for 2-3-4....

[gotbeer]

15 minutes ago, Homebrewer said:

Where does the aux gate start?  Both Magnum Moon and Vino Rosso look like they might have drawn into that.

If Justify gets clean to the turn it is all going to be for 2-3-4....

Mendelsson has the last spot in the main gate.  Instilled Regard has the first spot in the second gate.  

[gotbeer]

Kentucky Derby puts a spotlight on horse racing's competitive infighting

Why outiside of the Kentucky Derby.  I probably won't make that many other bets at churchill.  Churchill Downs is what is bad for horse racing.  

[Adam]

Derby card

ppCD_0599.pdf

[Adam]

2 hours ago, gotbeer said:

Kentucky Derby puts a spotlight on horse racing's competitive infighting

Why outiside of the Kentucky Derby.  I probably won't make that many other bets at churchill.  Churchill Downs is what is bad for horse racing.  

Yeah they suck. Also sucks that the BC is there this year.

[Adam]

2 hours ago, gotbeer said:

Mendelsson has the last spot in the main gate.  Instilled Regard has the first spot in the second gate.  

Well I was on Vino as my #1 pick but after the draw I think it has to be justify unfortunately. 

[Lou]

I was on Vino last night. I'm a longshot to get anything done today. 

[Homebrewer]

2 hours ago, Adam said:

Well I was on Vino as my #1 pick but after the draw I think it has to be justify unfortunately. 

I'll replace Magnum Moon with another closer ( at a price) Hofburg probably. If both closers are able to run around mid pack and stay outside just a bit...  one or both could pass tiring horses and get in the money...would help the EX-TRI payouts.

AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME!!!

I can see Justify and Mendelssohn hooking up for an epic dual.  

Justify, Mendelssohn, My Boy Jack, Hofburg.

[gotbeer]

So here is what I'm looking at.  Looking more and more like dead money.  

Top 2 positions.  F*ck me chalk, so yeah, dead money.

• 7 Justify 3/1
• 11 Bolt D'Oro 8/1
• 14 Mendelssohn 5/1
• 5 Audible 8/1

Add into position 3.  

• 18 Vino Rosso 12/1
• 9 Hoffburg 20/1

And position 4

• 10 My Boy Jack 30/1
• 8 Lone Sailor 50/1

$1 Exacta 7, 11, 14, 5 / 7, 11, 4, 5  $12

$0.50 Trifecta 7, 11, 14, 5 / 7, 11, 14, 5 / 7, 11, 14, 5, 18, 9  $24

$0.10 Superfecta 7, 11, 14, 5 / 7, 11, 14, 5 / 7, 11, 14, 5, 18, 9 / 7, 11, 14, 5, 18, 9, 10, 8  $24  But Churchil is a bunch of cocksuckers, so I think their minimum is $1 so no Super for me.

 

[Adam]

no 10-cent supers on derby day

[Tank]

if i could, i'd put $5k on bolt d'oro. 

[gotbeer]

5 hours ago, Tank said:

if i could, i'd put $5k on bolt d'oro. 

Great.  Time to throw out my pick.  

[Tank]

1 hour ago, gotbeer said:

Great.  Time to throw out my pick.  

well sorry for upsetting your apple cart, buddy. but you know how much time and work i put into my picks.

[Lou]

2 hours ago, Tank said:

well sorry for upsetting your apple cart, buddy. but you know how much time and work i put into my picks.

Tank, if you haven't noticed, there is no joking allowed in this thread. 

[gotbeer]

3 hours ago, Tank said:

well sorry for upsetting your apple cart, buddy. but you know how much time and work i put into my picks.

We all know how well your pick Irish War Cry did last year.  When everything was over, he took out not only himself, but all our horses too.  

[Adam]

I know I will cash this. Hopefully a bunch of times

[gotbeer]

@Adam  You know those are all losing tickets right?  The derby horses are too similar to my picks.